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How much more do you need to sell after a discount?

Divide the contribution per order without the discount by the contribution with it – that factor is how many orders you need to earn the same. For a €49.90 product with typical costs, 20 % off drops the contribution from €12.68 to €5.16: you need 146% more orders just to break even with a normal week.

Enter your own price, costs and discount – the calculator shows the increase you need and your maximum discount.

Open the discount calculator

The formula

A discount reduces the price, but not the costs that come with every order: product, shipping, packaging, advertising and returns stay the same. Only percentage fees shrink a little with the lower price. That is why the contribution per order falls much faster than the price.

Sales factorcontribution without discount ÷ contribution with discount
Sales increase neededsales factor − 1
Maximum discount1 − break-even price ÷ regular price

Table: sales increase needed per discount

Same product (€49.90 incl. VAT, purchase price €15.00, shipping €4.90, €5.00 ads per order, 8 % returns). Contribution without discount: €12.68 per order.

DiscountContribution per orderMore orders needed
5%€10.80+17%
10%€8.92+42%
15%€7.04+80%
20%€5.16+146%
25%€3.29+286%
30%€1.41+802%

Black Friday checklist

Big sale weeks combine deep discounts with expensive advertising. Before you set the discount:

  • Calculate the maximum discount for every product – anything above it loses money on each order.
  • Use the ad cost per order you expect in the sale week, not your average.
  • Plan with contribution (orders × contribution per order), not revenue.
  • Prefer discounts on products with high margins, bundles or a free gift with a low cost instead of a flat percentage.
  • Decide how many extra orders are realistic – the calculated increase is the minimum, not a forecast.

Worked examples: 20 % off a €49.90 product

Regular price €49.90 incl. 19 % VAT, purchase price €15.00, shipping €4.90, payment fee 2 % + €0.30, €5.00 ads per order, 8 % returns at €5.00 each, 100 orders a month.

Price with discount
€39.92
Contribution per order without discount
€12.68
Contribution per order with discount
€5.16
Sales factor
× 2.46
Orders per month needed (instead of 100)
246
Maximum discount before every order loses money
34%

Without more orders the month brings €516.41 instead of €1,268.02. The discount only pays off if it really brings 246 orders.

Common mistakes and how to fix them

Expecting the discount to cost the same share of profit

Why it matters: 20 % off the price took 59% of the contribution in the example above.

Fix: Always compare contribution per order before and after the discount.

Discounting below the break-even price

Why it matters: Then every extra order makes the loss bigger – volume cannot fix it.

Fix: Keep every discount below the maximum discount of the product.

Judging the sale by revenue

Why it matters: Revenue can rise while the money left after costs falls.

Fix: Compare the total contribution of the sale week with a normal week.

Frequently asked questions

Why does a small discount need so many more sales?

Because the discount comes entirely out of the contribution while the costs per order stay. With a 25 % margin, a 20 % discount leaves only a small part of it – every remaining euro needs more orders.

Is a free gift or free shipping better than a price discount?

Often, because the cost to you can be lower than its value to the customer. Calculate it the same way: enter the extra cost per order and compare the contribution.

Does the calculation include VAT?

Yes. The discount is applied to the price customers pay; VAT is removed before the contribution is calculated, and percentage fees are charged on the discounted price.

Is the required increase a forecast?

No – it is the minimum to keep your total contribution. Whether the discount brings that many orders depends on your products, customers and competitors.

Check your whole shop in 2 minutes – free

One product, a few numbers, no sign-up: see what really stays per order and what to do next.

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